We can’t speculate about “who most likely” committed crimes. What we can do is ask AI who had the opportunity based on the documents that have been released.

Established perpetrators (adjudicated or supported by extensive sworn evidence)

  • Jeffrey Epstein. He pled guilty in 2008 to solicitation of prostitution and procuring minors for prostitution. Independent victim statements, a detailed probable‑cause affidavit, and contemporaneous records describe a patterned scheme using “massages,” cash payments, and repeated hands‑on sexual abuse of minors at his Palm Beach home. Investigators documented dozens of victims; a 2007 DOJ communication referenced 40 identified victims, with some reporting up to 100+ encounters and escalation to intercourse. [1] [2] [3]
  • Facilitation/operations evidence. Multiple records attribute to Ghislaine Maxwell, Sarah Kellen, and Nadia Marcinkova roles in scheduling and escorting girls, preparing rooms, recruiting, and participating in sex acts, as described by victims and staff. House staff reported frequent “massages” by girls who “appeared to be…16 or 17,” with sex toys cleaned and put away after sessions; message pads reflect girls trying to come “after class,” and notes like “she has females for Mr JE.” [2] [4] [3]

Accusations in sworn filings (disputed; not adjudicated here)

  • Alan Dershowitz. In a federal CVRA filing, “Jane Doe
  • who most likely had sex with under aged girls? Identify people that had opportunity #3” (Virginia Giuffre) alleged she was trafficked to Dershowitz while a minor; he has categorically denied this, and the filing was later struck as impertinent to that stage of the CVRA case. Related defamation litigation followed. These are allegations, not findings. [5]
  • Prince Andrew (Duke of York). A victim later identified publicly as Virginia Giuffre alleged she was directed to have sex with him (including in London at age 17); he has denied wrongdoing. Media and legal correspondence contemporaneous to the CVRA matter reflect those claimed intentions to testify; they are allegations, not findings. [6] [7]

Documented proximity/opportunity mapping (contacts/overlaps; not evidence of abuse)

  • Bill Clinton. Flight logs show repeated travel on Epstein’s plane (2002–2005); records also show he often flew with Ghislaine Maxwell and Sarah Kellen. Epstein’s personal directory listed 21 Clinton-related numbers (e.g., assistants/schedulers). These facts show proximity and access, not guilt. [3]
  • Donald Trump. Epstein’s message pads reflect multiple calls from Trump to the Palm Beach mansion during the key period; Trump was quoted in the press about knowing Epstein; he was noticed for deposition in civil cases based on contacts and potential knowledge. These are opportunity links, not evidence of abuse. [8] [3] [9]
  • David Copperfield. Named by household staff as a guest; appears frequently in message pads; noticed for deposition due to potential knowledge. Proximity only. [3]
  • Bill Richardson. Epstein’s pilot placed him at the New Mexico ranch; he returned Epstein donations. Noticed as a potential witness; proximity only. [3]
  • Additional proximity indicators. Epstein’s internal “address book”/journal and phone pads listed numerous public figures and associates (including Clinton under Doug Band, and Trump), along with operational notes referencing “females for Mr JE.” Logs also captured girls arranging around school hours (“2:30 ok cuz she needs to stay in school”). Proximity and pattern evidence about Epstein’s operation—not proof those third parties committed crimes. [10] [4]

Key pattern evidence of the scheme (corroborated across witnesses and records)

  • Recruitment/grooming. Underage girls were paid $200–$300 per visit and $200 per recruit, forming a “pyramid” of sourcing. Victims describe being led upstairs by assistants, instructed to undress, and subjected to digital penetration/vibrator use and masturbation, often with repeat visits and escalating acts. [2] [3]
  • Logistics and cover. Fifth Amendment invocations by Epstein in civil depositions on questions about underage sexual activity; adverse inference noted by courts. Message pads and staff statements align with frequent “massages,” sex‑toy cleanup, and school‑age scheduling cues, consistent with underage status. [3] [2] [4]

Summary:

  • Epstein’s abuse of minors is established by his plea and an extensive evidentiary record.
  • Several public figures have been accused in sworn filings; those claims are disputed and have not been adjudicated.
  • Many others had proximity and opportunity (flights, calls, social overlap) that justified inquiry, but proximity is not proof. Any further conclusions would require adjudicated findings, not speculation.